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LFI

green circuit boardInvesting

Monthly investment brief

AI: fad or margin effect ? " Maintaining net margins at high levels appears largely subject to the rapid and continued spread of productivity gains associated with AI." A disappointing earnings season (for now) For the first time in 10 years, European companies are reporting…
LFI
21 February 2024
low angle photography of airplane flying over buildingNews

Weekly View: Goldilocks grips US

S&P5000 César Pérez Ruiz, Chief Investment Officer, Pictet Wealth Management. THE WEEK IN REVIEW Two remarkable things happened last week: Taylor Swift touched down after a whirlwind trip from Tokyo just in time to see her boyfriend’s team win the Super Bowl and, with a…
LFI
14 February 2024
Opinion

Flash Note – How do US elections impact monetary policy ?

Rate cuts, fiscal policy, and the Fed Chair Below you will find a new commentary by Xiao Cui, Senior Economist Pictet Wealth Management, on the US elections and how they will affect monetary policy. As the November election approaches, two common perceptions we hear often from investors…
LFI
14 February 2024
low-angle photography of man in the middle of buidlignsInvesting

Barometer: A tactical opportunity emerges in equities

As inflation continues to slow and economic growth remains resilient we upgrade stocks to overweight as part of a tactical move. Asset allocation: window of optimism For once, it has been quite a positive start to the new year – at least as far as…
LFI
09 February 2024
gray concrete spiral roadInvesting

Weekly View: More confidence needed

Slowdown ? What slowdown ? César Pérez Ruiz, Chief Investment Officer, Pictet Wealth Management. THE WEEK IN REVIEW The Fed’s dousing of hopes for a March rate cut, renewed fears around some regional banks in the US and underwhelming tech earnings meant that stocks struggled…
LFI
07 February 2024
white SUV on roadNews

Flash Note – US macro update: employment

US Employment: If last month was goldilocks, this month is re-acceleration Below you will find a new commentary by Xiao Cui, Senior Economist Pictet Wealth Management, on US employment. Nonfarm payrolls blew street forecasts out of the water, coming in hot at 353k (vs. expectation of 185k).…
LFI
05 February 2024
a close-up of a dry cracked groundNews

Flash Note – US macro update: January FOMC

Those cuts are coming, but likely not in March Xiao Cui, Senior Economist Pictet Wealth Management. Another FOMC, another whipsaw in markets. The Fed kept rates on hold at 5.25-5.50% and kept QT unchanged. As expected, the policy statement removed the tightening bias by dropping the reference to…
LFI
02 February 2024
person standing near the stairsInvesting

Capitalising on Human Capital

Investors can identify emerging market opportunities by focusing on countries' prospects for human capital growth. Robert Simpson, Head of Emerging Markets Investment Strategy & Solutions (Fixed Income & Sabrina Jacobs, Senior Client Portfolio Manager, Pictet Asset Management. Investors spend vast efforts focusing on capital –…
LFI
02 February 2024
selective focus photo of brown and blue hourglass on stonesNews

Weekly View: No rush

Enchanted economy César Pérez Ruiz, Chief Investment Officer, Pictet Wealth Management. The week in review It was another good week for US equities as data was released showing the continued strength of the US economy, while the drop in core inflation announced on Friday providing a further…
LFI
31 January 2024
a very tall building with lots of windowsNews

Flash Note – FOMC preview (January 31)

A more balanced reaction function ​ ​    Xiao Cui, Senior Economist Pictet Wealth Management. We expect the FOMC to keep rates on hold at 5.25-5.50%, and keep quantitative tightening (QT) and other administered interest rates unchanged at its January meeting. There will be no new economic projections or…
LFI
29 January 2024