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Investing

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Barometer – Markets getting carried away

Equities and bonds have rallied sharply as a growing number of investors see aggressive monetary easing in 2024. We also believe rates will fall, but not as steeply as markets envisage. Pictet Group. Asset allocation: wary of Goldilocks reflation trade 2023 began with prospects for…
LFI
10 January 2024
shallow focus photo of blue buildingInvesting

Italian and Spanish sovereign bonds : 2024 outlook

Spreads to remain range bound. Nadia Gharbi, Senior economist, Lauréline Renaud-Chatelain, Fixed-income strategist, Milène Dumont, Strategist Pictet Wealth Management. Growth in euro zone periphery countries has been relatively resilient this year thanks to strong construction activity in Italy and a pickup in tourism, especially in…
LFI
26 December 2023
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Monthly investment brief

The “60/40” strategy is back Laurent Denize, Global Co-CIO, ODDO BHF AM. " Regardless of the region or the economic cycle, the aim is to identify sectors and, within those sectors, companies capable of creating long-term value" . A new era The 2022/2023 period has…
LFI
26 December 2023
10 and 5 euro banknotesInvestingNews

Ebury: volatile week for currencies

We said that last week would be a volatile one, with three key central bank meetings in quick succession, and currency markets did not disappoint. The Federal Reserve executed a clear pivot towards rate cuts, both in terms of rhetoric and its actual forecasts for rates…
FJV
18 December 2023
a stack of paper moneyInvestingNews

Ebury: a reaction on the ECB meeting

ECB's refusal to turn dovish supercharges EUR/USD rally Roman Ziruk, Matthew Ryan, CFA The tone of the last ECB meeting of the year was noticeably more hawkish than expected by markets, allowing EUR/USD to extend its rally on Thursday. The ECB’s statement included a small…
EFI
15 December 2023
a tunnel that is very dark and emptyInvesting

The global economy: what are the risks for 2024?

Bruno Cavalier, Chief Economist ODDO BHF. KEY HIGHLIGHTS: United States aside, the economic outlook everywhere else has been revised downward The rise in interest rates puts pressure on government budgets World trade is fragmented against a backdrop of numerous geopolitical tensions A possible re-election of…
LFI
22 November 2023
a close up of a circuit boardInvesting

Focus on China

Out of the chaos come heroes Yanxiu Gu, Spécialiste produits, actions chinoises ODDO BHF AM. " The technology race between China and the US is not going to end any time soon. But investors may miss good opportunities by turning away from these stocks" US RESTRICTIONS…
LFI
15 November 2023
Modern multistage house exteriors against endless sea under cloudy sky in New York City at sunsetInvesting

US CPI – Downside miss supports policy rate on hold ​

Xiao Cui, Senior Economist - Pictet Wealth Management. Core CPI came in weaker than consensus expectation, increasing 0.227% MoM (consensus: 0.3%). This is a step down from its 0.32% MoM print last month. The YoY reading fell further to 4.0% from 4.1%. Core inflation is headed…
LFI
15 November 2023
the sun is setting over a body of waterInvesting

Barometer: Geopolitical risks cast shadow over stocks

The conflict in the Middle East threatens to further destabilise the economy and financial markets. As a result, we remain neutral stocks and overweight bonds. Luca Paolini, Chief Strategist at Pictet Asset Management. Asset allocation: geopolitical vulnerabilities Just as the markets had started taking the…
LFI
08 November 2023